Tuesday, January 31, 2012
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 01FEB2012
PhysOrg.com
An unlikely alliance between the native Moqoit people and leading Argentine scientists has thwarted plans to ship the world's second largest meteorite to Germany as a prestigious art exhibit. The 37-ton space rock crashed to Earth as part of a meteor ...
Learn to shoot the moon over West Michigan and get to know Mars better
The
IAEA Gives Japan Passing Grades, But Not an A
Not so very long ago, we mentioned that Japan invited in the International Atomic Energy Agency to review its stress tests at its nuclear energy facilities. Now, there’s news of how that went:
The team began its work on 23 January and delivered a Preliminary Summary Report to Japanese officials today and plans to finish the final report by the end of February.
So what’d it say? Here’s the good news:
- Based on NISA instructions and commitments of the utilities, emergency safety measures were promptly addressed in Japanese NPPs following the accident on 11 March 2011;
- NISA's practice of conducting an independent walkdown of emergency measures implemented at nuclear power plants enhances confidence that plants and operators can respond effectively during an emergency; and
- By observing European stress tests, NISA is demonstrating its commitment to improving Japanese nuclear safety by gaining experience from other countries.
NISA is Japan’s NRC. NISA has been severely criticized for its coziness with the industry and the Japanese have decided they will replace (or supplement) it with a more independent NRC-like organization.
And here are the areas where there could be improvement:
- Although NISA has demonstrated a notable level of transparency and interested party consultation related to the Comprehensive Safety Assessment and its review process, NISA should conduct additional meetings with interested parties near nuclear facilities that are subject to Comprehensive Safety Assessment;
- NISA should use the experience it gains from the first few reviews to clarify its guidance for how nuclear power plants should conduct their Comprehensive Safety Assessments and for how NISA should review those assessments;
- In the Secondary Assessment, there are areas that NISA could address more thoroughly, such as seismic safety margins and severe accident management; and
- NISA should ensure that the Secondary Assessments are completed, evaluated and confirmed by regulatory review within an appropriate timeframe.
That’s not bad, though it sounds as though it’s the IAEA that really wants a secondary assessment and perhaps Japan’s version of it is not fully implemented. But no: these assessments belong to NISA’s procedures, so IAEA is commenting on the gap between NISA’s definition of a secondary assessment and its implementation.
In its report, the IAEA defines these assessments thusly:
The Primary Assessment will inform the decision whether to restart operations at suspended NPPs [nuclear power plants] and the Secondary Assessment will inform whether to continue or halt operations at operating NPPs. The Secondary Assessment is explained as being based on the stress tests in Europe and the deliberations of the Investigation and Verification Committee on the Accidents at the Fukushima Nuclear Power Station (TEPCO).
So they are something the Japanese are adopting from the Europeans.It sounds like NISA did an okay but not great job of it. Hopefully, this means that the secondary assessments will be done again and in much more detail.
---
As mentioned in the last post on this subject, the idea behind all this is to reassure the public that the facilities can reopen safely. Let’s leave aside whether or how the public relations goal dovetails into the safety issues. To put it another way, plants not impacted by the earthquake are being shuttered by fear, not safety concerns, so really, public relations is all they need – the specific plant the IAEA visited, Oi, was not affect by the earthquake.
No word on whether the Japanese believe they accomplished this goal to their satisfaction, but Reuters seems to think so:
U.N. nuclear experts on Tuesday gave their backing to stress tests aimed at showing Japan's nuclear plants can withstand the sort of disasters that devastated the Fukushima plant last year, potentially bolstering a government campaign to restart idled reactors and avoid a summer power crunch.
But still, there’s this:
Local governments hosting nuclear plants, however, have said the stress tests were not sufficient to allow them to give their approval, with some requesting that findings from the Fukushima disaster be considered in drafting new safety standards as well.
The story goes on to explain that the government could switch on all the plants without local approval, but that custom dictates it not do so until the local officials sign off.
This story could be going on for awhile, but I notice that talk of Japan exiting the nuclear energy field seem to have tamped down. It really needs the electricity to get through the sweltering summer months.
Nuclear Plants and Red Lights
Here’s the headline in the Sioux City (IA) Journal. I’m not sure what it means, though it seems to mean something.
Nuclear power, red-light camera bills could be on Iowa legislative agenda
I mean that nuclear power is given parity with the camera bill. Here’s what that’s about:
A bill likely to come before the House Transportation Committee Feb. 2 could be a financial risk to lead-footed drivers. That's HF 2048 sponsored by Rep. Walt Rogers, R-Cedar Falls, to ban red-light and speed cameras in Iowa. It calls for all existing cameras to be removed by July 1.
So far the debate has pitted law enforcement and city officials against personal liberty interests.
"How much of a police state do we want to have?" Rogers asked at a hearing where his bill won subcommittee backing.
What pops into my head is: how many traffic lights are there in Iowa?
But really, we came for the lights and stayed for the energy:
Example One [of controversial legislation – banning traffic light cameras is the other] is a bill that would pave the way for MidAmerican Energy to pursue approval to develop a small-scale nuclear reactor with ratepayers picking up the cost. House File 561, which was approved 58-39 in the House last year, is scheduled for action in the Senate Commerce Committee Jan. 31.
While Chairman Matt McCoy, D-Des Moines, spoke glowingly of the bill and MidAmerica's plan, Sen. Joe Bolkcom, D-Iowa City, called nuclear energy environmentally risky and said the bill places an "enormous financial risk on customers."
Iowa derives 72 percent of its electricity from coal (almost 8 percent from nuclear). If Rep. McCoy wants to get together at an Iowa City chop house, we can have a friendly chat about what’s environmentally risky.
Senate Majority Leader Mike Gronstal, D-Council Bluffs, acknowledged there is "some support" in the Senate for the bill as well as concerns with protecting utility customers.
However, doing nothing has its risks, too, he said. "Every option will result in some increase."
Of risk, I think.
The story doesn’t tell us what Gov. Terry Branstad is thinking, but this one does:
Gov. Terry Branstad says he's open to legislation allowing MidAmerican Energy to bill customers for the cost of a proposed nuclear power plant before construction is complete.
Speaking Monday at his weekly news conference, Branstad maintained Iowa should consider all kinds of energy sources, including nuclear power.
So far, so good. Different state initiatives have been gaining some traction over the last few years. The Iowa one has just come out of committee, so who knows its chances, but it looks to be in pretty good shape.
The iconic traffic light from David Lynch’s Twin Peaks (1990-1991). It’s a symbol, but of what, we may never know. In any event, if there’s a camera on it, some Iowans want to know about it.
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 31JAN2012
Springfield News-Leader
A Mars rover photographed this basketball-size iron meteorite on Mars in 2005. / NASA / JPL / Cornell Manicouagan Reservoir, a large annular lake, marks the site of an impact crater 100 kilometers wide. Formed almost 212 million years ago when a large ...
Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News ... - Portal to the Universe
Latest 25
Tom Phillips Meteorite & Rock Art
"The Resurrection" - Thinsection of a Chondrule within an Ordinary Chondrite Meteorite
(c) 2012 Tom Phillips
For more of Tom Phillips`s works of thinsection art of meteorites and rocks please see: http://tomphillipsrockart.blogspot.com/
Monday, January 30, 2012
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 30JAN2012
A bright white meteor streaking, streaking, streaking across the southern sky over ... It most likely was a meteor–and you can see here in this graphic that it was ...
www.brucesussman.com/weather.../meteor-above-portland/
Meteoritical Bulletin: Entry for Tissint
Tissint 29°28.917'N, 7°36.674'W. Tata, Morocco. Fell: 18 July 2011.
Saturday, January 28, 2012
Breaking News -MBIQ Indicates NY NJ MD PA VA Meteor Fireball 28JAN2012
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28JAN2012 Tara foy Gilbertsville, PA USA 22:00:00 10 sec N-s bright White Extemely bright Slight bright trail
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 28JAN2012
Universe Today Fri, 27 Jan 2012 10:36 AM PST
For hundreds of years, people have seen tiny flashes of light on the surface of the Moon. Very brief, but bright enough to be seen from Earth, these odd flashes still had not been adequately explained up until now. Also known as Transient Lunar Phenomena (TLPs), they have been observed on many occasions,
Friday, January 27, 2012
OT: Just Breaking News - SECOND EARTHQUAKE TODAY! Earthquake Japan Iwate-Ken 5.6 MAG 09:22 am 28JAN2011
No damage reports.
Tsunami Caution Issued.
Source: USGS
Occurred at (JST)Latitude
(degree)Longitude
(degree)DepthMagnitudeRegion Name
09:22 JST 28 Jan 201240.2N142.5E40 km5.6Iwate-ken Oki
OT: Just Breaking News -Japan Earthquake 5.2+ 28JAN2012
Japan Earthquake 5.2+ 07:43:15 am (UTC+9) 28JAN2012
- No Damage Reported.
-No Tsunami Warnings Issued.
-Felt Strongly in Tokyo.
Source: USGS
MAP 5.2 2012/01/27 22:43:15 35.542 138.960 26.4 EASTERN HONSHU, JAPAN
Reporting on the BRC Report
The NEI coverage of the Blue Ribbon Commission final report is below this post and gives a good summary of industry response. We’d thought we’d take a look at some of the coverage in the press and see how it is playing around the country. These are news stories, so we’re not gauging reaction, as we would with editorials, just the accuracy and usefulness of the reporting.
And some are better than others. The TriCity [Wash.] Herald, using the AP story as a base, sort of misses the boat with this lede:
The United States should immediately start looking for an alternative to replace the Yucca Mountain nuclear waste repository in Nevada, which cost an estimated $15 billion but was never completed, a presidential commission said Thursday.
It’s not wrong exactly, but the stress on Yucca Mountain suggests the commission had something to say about it. In fact, it had nothing specific to say about it and, if Yucca Mountain were determined to still be the best locale for a central used fuel repository, that would be consistent with the report.
Yucca Mountain was picked by a process established by law, but "now the Blue Ribbon Commission suggests we just ignore the law and start all over?" said Washington Attorney General Rob McKenna, who is running for governor as a Republican, in a statement. "That recommendation could set our country back at least 25 years."
Well, he said it, but it isn’t really the case that Yucca has been eliminated from consideration. The report didn’t eliminate any location from consideration. President Barack Obama and Energy Secretary Steven Chu, yes, blue ribbon commission, no.
Here’s what the report says. It’s pretty direct:
The Blue Ribbon Commission was not chartered as a siting commission. Accordingly we have not evaluated Yucca Mountain or any other location as a potential site for the storage or disposal of spent nuclear fuel and high-level waste, nor have we taken a position on the Administration’s request to withdraw the license application.
The New York Time’s Matt Wald gets closer to the gist and introduced in the lede the second element that picked up a lot of attention, the consent-based approach to siting a repository:
A commission appointed to find alternatives to a failed plan to store nuclear waste in the Nevada desert declared on Thursday that the United States would have to develop a "consent-based approach" for choosing a site because leaving the decision to Congress had failed.
By securing local consent, the panel said, the government might avoid the kind of conflicts that led to the cancellation of plans to create a repository at Yucca Mountain, a site 100 miles from Las Vegas, in 2010. It noted that local willingness had been crucial to decision-making on sites for nuclear waste depots in Finland, France, Spain and Sweden.
This is true, though it ignores that Yucca Mountain might well be open today if President Obama had not closed it – and neither Obama nor Secretary Chu have offered a definitive reason for closing it, so we not sure if “conflicts” led to its shuttering. One can infer a lot of things, but not really know them.
Here’s what the commission says about the consent-based approach:
By contrast [to a top-down, federal-led approach], the approach we recommend is explicitly adaptive, staged, and consent-based. Based on a review of successful siting processes in the United States and abroad—including most notably the siting of a disposal facility for transuranic radioactive waste, the Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP) in New Mexico, and recent positive outcomes in Finland, France, Spain and Sweden—we believe this type of approach can provide the flexibility and sustain the public trust and confidence needed to see controversial facilities through to completion.
And it’s right. This has worked to tamp down public opposition in those place – WIPP is almost a case study on how to do it - though it takes more time and effort to engage with local communities and any attempted process may come to nothing. That’s the risk.
Back to Wald:
The panel … also suggested that the government, which assumed responsibility for high-level waste 30 years ago, take the job of managing the waste out of the hands of the Energy Department and give it to a federally chartered corporation created for that purpose.
Such an agency would be more effective than the Department of Energy, which "must balance multiple agendas or policy priorities," it said.
The idea of the chartered corporation appears further down in a number of stories, so a fair number of writers may have decided it’s a little more arcane a subject for general interest readers but still important.
Here’s the commission on the corporation:
[T]he Commission concludes that a new, single-purpose organization is needed to provide the stability, focus, and credibility that are essential to get the waste program back on track. We believe a congressionally chartered federal corporation offers the best model, but whatever the specific form of the new organization it must possess the attributes, independence, and resources to effectively carry out its mission.
The central task of the new organization would be to site, license, build, and operate facilities for the safe consolidated storage and final disposal of spent fuel and high-level nuclear waste at a reasonable cost and within a reasonable timeframe. In most stories I’ve read, Yucca Mountain and consent based siting have been the biggest subjects.
Even as the third most covered aspect of the report in most stories I’ve read, it’s often buried. CNN has it at paragraph 11:
It [the report] said this congressionally chartered federal corporation should have substantial authority and access to funds to accomplish its mission. A board, nominated by the president and confirmed by Congress, would oversee the organization.
I missed much coverage of interim storage sites, another of the report’s recommendations – that seems germane to various communities – but maybe that will be thought most important to communities where they will be sited.
---
The story in the Las Vegas Sun, opposition central for Yucca Mountain in Nevada media, runs through the same subjects as the other stories we reviewed. What I liked was the headline:
Commission: Store nuclear waste where it’s wanted
Yeah, wise guys, where it’s wanted.
It’s a newsboy. I was a bicycle based suburban newsboy back when rather than a wuxtry-wuxtry urban type of newsboy. The former still have some currency – the latter, our boy in the picture, none at all. Count him as among the culturally lost.
Breaking News -Here Comes Asteroid 433 Eros Passing Near Earth 27/28/29/30/31JAN2012
No danger near future!
433 Eros is a near-Earth asteroid (NEA) discovered in 1898, and the first asteroid to be orbited by a probe (in 2000). It is an S-type asteroid approximately 34.4×11.2×11.2 km in size, the second-largest NEA after 1036 Ganymed, and belongs to the Amor group.
Eros is a
US Panel Recommends New Strategies for Managing Used Nuclear Fuel
Jan. 26, 2012—Enumerating shortcomings of the nation’s used fuel management program, a federal government panel this week recommended eight steps to improve it.
Among them, the Blue Ribbon Commission on America’s Nuclear Future said in a report issued today, is that levies on nuclear energy that American consumers have been paying for years should be fully available to a new organization created to manage the federal government’s used nuclear fuel program.
The commission also recommended development of at least one consolidated storage facility for used nuclear fuel.
Congressional hearings on a new used fuel management organization should begin “as soon as possible,” the commission said.
The panel also addressed the fund created to manage the program.
Under the 1982 Nuclear Waste Policy Act, the government has been assessing utilities—which have in turn assessed their rate payers—a fee to finance the government’s used fuel program. The fund, with a balance of $27 billion, has become inaccessible to the program.
Used fuel management “must compete for federal funding each year and is therefore subject to exactly the budget constraints and uncertainties that the fund was created to avoid. This situation must be remedied to allow the [used fuel] program to continue,” the commission said. It recommended administrative actions that can separate fund receipts from the overall federal budget.
In a statement, six organizations—the Nuclear Energy Institute, the National Association of Regulatory Utility Commissioners, the Nuclear Waste Strategy Coalition, the American Public Power Association, the National Rural Electric Cooperative Association and the Edison Electric Institute—said they welcome the report. The groups collectively represent nuclear energy producers and suppliers, state public utility commissions, and other public and private organizations interested in used nuclear fuel management.
“After two years of fact-finding and intense study, the commission has officially endorsed a number of strategic used fuel-management initiatives that our members and other experts have long supported and that will reform and re-energize the country’s high-level radioactive waste program,” the statement says.
The commission’s recommendations, which are generally consistent with the industry’s integrated used fuel management policies, are:
- creating an organization outside the Energy Department with a corporate-style board of directors to manage the country’s used fuel program
- making the used fuel levies on consumers fully available to the new organization
- developing one or more consolidated storage facilities
- making decisions on locations of nuclear fuel management facilities based on the consent of the state and local governments
- developing one or more underground disposal facilities
- preparing for the large-scale transport of spent nuclear fuel and high-level waste to consolidated storage and disposal facilities when they are available
- supporting continued U.S. innovation in nuclear energy technology and work force development
- leading international efforts to enhance safety, waste management, nonproliferation and security issues.
The Department of Energy spent several decades studying and seeking permits to build an underground repository for reactor fuel at Yucca Mountain in Nevada. In 2008, the department submitted a license application to the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to build the repository, but the Obama administration cancelled the project before NRC review of the license application was completed. The Obama administration created the 15-member commission to study nuclear fuel management in January 2010.
The commission noted that some of its recommendations will require congressional action but said that “prompt action can and should be taken in several areas, without waiting for legislative action, to get the waste management program back on track.” For example, the report says, the Energy Department can take early steps to develop a consolidated storage facility to hold decades-old reactor fuel, particularly fuel from reactors that have been closed.
In their statement, the six organizations agreed, adding that they “stand ready to work with the DOE, the administration and Congress to implement the [commission’s] recommendations to advance the nation’s economic, energy, environmental and national security imperatives by creating a sustainable integrated used nuclear fuel management program.”
The commission report also supports long-term recycling and advanced fuel-cycle technologies, which could reduce the amount of used fuel needing disposal while recovering valuable unused materials for re-use in new fuel. The panel noted, however, that there are “no currently available or reasonably foreseeable reactor and fuel cycle technology developments [that] have the potential to fundamentally alter the waste management challenge this nation confronts over at least the next several decades, if not longer.”
“Nuclear energy is a key component of America’s energy mix. The [commission] recognizes this with its recommendation for stable, long-term support for advanced reactor and fuel cycle technology development that can help address the energy challenges facing future generations,” the statement from the six organizations says.
AWB Asteroid Eros Parallax Project 2012 Begins As EROS Passes Earth!
Asteroid Eros Parallax Project Begins As EROS Passes Earth 2012!
Eros Reconstruction - NASA
(click on image to enlarge)
Eros Parallax Project Begins!Join the projectTonight many amateur astronomers and school classes are eagerly awaiting the asteroid Eros, now at its closest to Earth. From January 28 to February 3 they will take an image of Eros either
Breaking Asteroid News- NEO Close Pass 27JAN2012
Be ready for more meteors, fireballs and bolides as this asteroid will have accompanying debris. Get out and observe, cameras ready; there may just be some activity in your area.
-LunarMeteorite*Hunter, Tokyo
Source:NASA/JPL
(2012 BX34) 2012-Jan-270.00040.27.9 m - 18 m27.69.99
Source: NASA/JPL http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/ca/
Thursday, January 26, 2012
Breaking News - MBIQ Detects Meteor Bolide Fireball Over Texas 26JAN2012
26Jan2012 PW Dallas Texas USA 18:40 cst 2-3 sec near vertical bright white very bright no Southeast of Dallas; appeared to continue burning to a fairly low altitude
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The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 27JAN2012
Fox News
When Space Attacks: The 6 Craziest Meteor Impacts Killer Asteroids: We're WISE to You Now! 5 Reasons to Care About Asteroids Copyright 2012 SPACE.com, a TechMediaNetwork company. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, ...
In photos: Wolfe Creek Meteor Crater
Today's photos will hopefully give you a glimpse
BRC Releases Final Report; Japan Invites in IAEA
I’d give you a link to the final report of the Blue Ribbon Commission on America’s Nuclear Future at its site at brc.gov, but that has been flooded and is not responsive. But NEI has you covered. Go here to get a copy of the report.
The BRC says the report hews pretty closely to the draft report released last summer – our coverage of that is here with some useful links. We’ll have lots more to say about the final report, I’m sure, but for now, reading glasses on.
---
The Japanese government has asked the International Atomic Energy Agency to stop by and double check the stress tests it has been conduction on its fleet. Specifically, the Japanese want the IAEA to visit Oi, its third largest nuclear facility. Why have the IAEA do this?
Seeking to assuage public misgivings about nuclear-plant safety, government and nuclear industry officials have sought to use "stress tests" that gauge resilience to natural disasters such as earthquakes and tsunamis. The invitation to the IAEA is part of Japan's campaign to validate those tests.
And there’s this, too:
Oi's four reactors have become a focal point in Japan's debate over nuclear energy as the hot and humid summer, with its seasonal peak in electricity demand, draws nearer. Kansai Electric, which supplies power to Kyoto and Osaka in western Japan, relies on its three nuclear plants for more than 40% of the electricity it generates. Oi alone provides about 20%.
Those are actually two different things – getting the plants running to stave off blackouts and regaining public trust. How the government will know that it done the latter is not mentioned in the story, but I guess polling and the opinions of the elected leaders in the towns around Oi and other facilities will act as the gauges.
“The stress tests as currently designed don't seem to factor in the type of worst-case scenario we saw in Fukushima," Mr. [Ryozo] Tatami, the mayor of Maizuru said. "We need evidence Oi's reactors will be safe even if a [Fukushima-scale] tsunami strikes because vague assurances just raise too many doubts in our minds."
Maizuru is about 18 miles from Oi.
One can have an opinion about this approach – it sounds like one the Japanese put stock into, which is good – and about whether Japan should or shouldn’t reopen its facilities – simply, yes – but whether it does or not, whatever the consequences, is up to its people. There’s nothing for us to do but wait and see – and respect the outcome.
The Washington Post has an interesting article about the Japanese decision making approach and its impact on reopening its nuclear facilities here. Long story short: the Japanese really like a broad consensus. Worth a read for insight into how another culture deals with big issues.
The Oi nuclear facility. If you say it enough times, you sound like an annoyed Brit.
Oman Meteor/Meteorite News - The 10th Arab Conference on Astronomy and Space Sciences 5-8FEB2012
The 10th Arab Conference on Astronomy and Space Sciences5-8 Feb 2012, Muscat, Oman
Oman Astronomical Society hosts the 10th Conference of the Arab Union for Astronomy and Space Sciences (AUASS) in cooperation with Ministry of Transport and Communications, the International Astronomy Union (IAU), National Aeronautics & Space Administration (NASA), European Space Agency (ESA) and the
Tissint Morocco Martian Meteorite Hunting Video
Posted on YouTube by izakri74 on 24 Jan 2012 100 views
Meteoritical Bulletin: Entry for Tissint
www.lpi.usra.edu/meteor/index.php?code=54823 -
19 Jan 2012 – Tissint 29°28.917'N, 7°36.674'W. Tata, Morocco. Fell: 18 July 2011. Classification: Martian meteorite (Shergottite). History: (H. Chennaoui ...
Italia Fireball Meteor Bolide 24JAN2012
fireball ( nella nebbia ) 2012.01.24 19.59.32 UT
ITALIAN METEOR and TLE NETWORK
fireball ( nella nebbia ) 2012.01.24 19.59.32 UT
ITALIAN METEOR and TLE NETWORK
Ferruccio Zanotti
http://meteore.forumattivo.com/t2340-fireball-nella-nebbia-20120124-195932-ut#9439
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 26JAN2012
Tampabay.com
The Fireball of Christ, 8 pm, NatGeo A documentary about how a possible meteorite strike may have been the sign that pushed the Romans to convert to Christianity. Either that, or it's a rockumentary about a Christian death-metal band. 30 Rock, 8 pm, ...
Molten blobs create moon flashes
Science News
Meteor showers, like the Leonids in November, can dump as
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 26JAN2012
I just stepped out onto my deck for a few minutes to give my dog a nature break and looked due South just in time to see a very nice meteor above the trees.
www.bautforum.com/.../127413-Nice-meteor-sighting-Peters-...
Meteor Flashes, Monster Fireballs, Mystery Boom and Earth Tremors ...
Meteor Flashes, Monster Fireballs, Mystery Boom and Earth Tremors
New Report Falsely Claims Nuclear Plants Leaking Radioactive Materials Into Ground Water Supplies
With 49 million Americans drawing their drinking water from areas within 50 miles of nuclear power plants—and with three-quarters of all U.S. nuclear power plants already leaking radioactivity into groundwater supplies—it is time for the U.S. to move toward cleaner, safer and cheaper alternatives for our energy needs.It comes as no surprise that four authors without environmental monitoring backgrounds are pushing their own agenda—to shut down all U.S. nuclear plants—and distorting the facts about the industry’s ground water protection initiatives to support their case.
Let’s review the facts:
First, the nuclear industry considers any unintended release of radioactive materials to be unacceptable. Period. This is why the industry has programs in place to monitor ground water and underground piping at all U.S. plant sites. It is also why every company operating an U.S. nuclear plant informs local, state and federal authorities of an unintended release, even if it is below the Nuclear Regulatory Commission’s threshold for reporting.
The industry’s voluntary ground water protection and underground piping programs enhance the capabilities for early detection of tritium in ground water, and complement the redundant, protective measures set forth by the NRC. They also ensure that licensees are taking appropriate actions to stop the release and to make stakeholders aware of unintended releases at levels well below those deemed safe by federal authorities for public health and the environment. In the rare instances when higher-than-expected levels of tritium have been detected at nuclear plant sites, it has been these dual industry environmental monitoring and protection programs which have brought them to light. After careful review and examination of these instances, the NRC independently verified that the public has never been in danger:
The NRC recently identified several instances of unintended tritium releases, and all available information shows no threat to the public.The industry’s extensive environmental monitoring programs have proven very effective. In the U.S. nuclear industry’s 3,500 combined reactor-years of operation, there is no scientific evidence that any member of the general public has ever been harmed by a radiation release from a U.S. nuclear energy facility, including tritium.
Second, there has not been an increase in harmful levels of tritium reaching drinking water supplies from nuclear plants. The report claims that an Associated Press investigation has found a greater number of tritium leaks in the last decade, stating:
Tritium leaks have occurred with great regularity at U.S. nuclear plants. An investigation by the Associated Press found that leaks have occurred at 75 percent of U.S. plants, and that a great number of them have taken place in the past five years. On at least three occasions, tritium leaks from nuclear plants have contaminated nearby well water.As you may recall, we responded to the shoddy AP series last summer to correct a number of factual errors and misleading reporting in their news coverage. In particular, on the topic of tritium leaks into ground water, NEI had this to say:
There has been no known adverse impact on public health or safety from a tritium release at commercial nuclear power plants. As the AP acknowledges, no tritium is known to have reached public water supplies.
No drinking water supply has exceeded the allowable limit set by the EPA for tritium in the Safe Drinking Water Act. AP reporter Jeff Donn acknowledged this fact in a June 24 interview on “Democracy Now!” when he said, “The main danger from tritium, the main health danger, is if you were to drink it. The EPA sets a limit on how much can be in drinking water. None of the leaks have entered drinking water in amounts that would violate the EPA limits so far.”The Environment America-U.S. PIRG report also claims that older nuclear plants are more likely to have ground water problems, another claim that simply is not true. The report states:
As plants have aged, the risk of tritium leaks has risen, since aging equipment has had more time to develop leaks and weaknesses.However, in our same fact sheet that corrects the AP’s inaccurate news coverage, we also pointed out that older nuclear reactors are still subject to the same NRC requirements regardless of their age or condition.
U.S. nuclear power plants are subject to a rigorous program of NRC oversight, inspection, preventive and corrective maintenance, equipment replacement, and extensive equipment testing. These programs ensure nuclear plant equipment continues to meet safety standards, no matter how long the plant has been operating.Despite Environment America and U.S. PIRG’s best efforts to scare the American public into thinking all U.S. nuclear plants are leaking radioactive materials into ground water supplies, they need to let the facts speak for themselves and not cite sources, like the AP, which have already been debunked.
Nuclear Up, Emissions Down: The EIA Outlook
The U.S. Energy Information Administration sees incremental growth in nuclear energy capacity through 2035 in its Annual Energy Outlook 2012 (AEO 2012) reference case, which has just been released.
Nuclear generating capacity in the reference case increases from 101 gigawatts in 2011 to 112 gigawatts in 2035, with 10 gigawatts of new capacity due to 5 new plants, 7 gigawatts of uprates at existing plants and 6 gigawatts of retirements, according to the report. This is one gigawatt more than projected in the AEO 2011 reference case.
At the same time, it forecasts CO2 emissions rising 0.2 percent per year during this period, or about 4.9 percent in total. While the rise in nuclear capacity is good news, the news about carbon emissions is a little disturbing, at least at first glance. A forecast – and there are a bunch of them, though this is the most prominent for U.S. policy makers - can be a little confusing the first time you tackle it.
That’s because, as these charts show, the Energy Outlook is not as useful in any given year as it is in aggregation. Seen as one in a series, the reports show the year-to-year variations in whatever metric you want to follow.
The Washington Post’s Brad Plumer expresses it this way:
Carbon-dioxide emissions plummeted after the financial crisis in 2008, and the EIA expects that greenhouse-gas pollution from the energy sector won’t recover back to 2005 levels anytime soon, as the chart [above] shows. The reasons? New vehicle fuel-economy standards; cheap natural gas that’s displacing dirtier coal-fired places; state-level laws that mandate renewable energy; and new environmental regulations on power plants from the EPA.
That’s about right, though EIA doesn’t use terms like “dirtier coal-fired plants” and it really doesn’t “expect” anything. The EIA, in its reference scenario, is interested only in taking account of legislation and regulation that has been passed and/or implemented, so it “expects,” if anything, that there will be no more legislation and regulation going forward and this is how things will look as a result. But of course, there will be more and that will be reflected in the 2013 forecast – and so on into the future. The EIA isn’t Nostradamus (heck, Nostradamus wasn’t all that good a Nostradamus.)
So if you look at a series of the forecasts, you can see whether some metrics are pointing upwards over time (in our case, nuclear energy capacity, of course, and renewables) and whether some are pointing downwards (carbon emissions, coal capacity). If they are – and, let me hasten to add, they indeed are – then we’re going in the right direction. How speedily we’re going in the right direction is something else again.
For example, though the report (and the above chart) shows CO2 emissions in the electric sector growing by 0.2 percent per year from 2010 to 2035, this is less than in previous years. The AEO 2011 reference case forecasts CO2 emissions rising by an average of 0.3 percent per year between 2010 and 2035. So the rise has been cut by a third by policy making, the activity of industry and other factors over the last year. That’s a significant number, especially in light of a recovering economy and concomitant recovering electricity market.
Are improvements in a given set of metrics moving too slowly over time or not getting us where we want to go 25 years hence? Maybe, maybe not, but if you think it is, it argues for more aggressive policies to encourage nuclear and renewable energy and discourage carbon emissions. And that’s usually the result of the EIA’s AEO. It provides information that can be used to show - well, a number of things – that can sharpen arguments for, say, new nuclear energy capacity.
Perhaps increasing nuclear capacity will bend that carbon emission curve downward and more quickly than the 2012 forecast shows – perhaps nuclear energy can do a quicker job on that curve than its renewable cousins can do – and so on. Pick your favorite energy source, poke through a few EIA reports to see if they support your view, then go to town. It’s a gold mine for energy wonks.
The full EIA report, due in April, will include a number of scenarios that do take account of potential policy changes and what they will mean for carbon emission reduction. So consider this a sneak preview.
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 25JAN2012
Sidmouth Herald
Sidmouth Norman Lockyer Observatory astronomers Alan Shuttleworth and Mac Currie, members of the NLO meteor detection team. ...
Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News: MBIQ Indicates Texas ...
Important new changes coming to The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News ... MBIQ (MeteorBot Internet Query) Bot Indicates Texas Meteor
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
Groundwater Study Co-Authors Lack Scientific Credentials
From where we sit, the story seems a lot like one that the AP pushed out in June 2011 about the subject. The public needs to know that there has been no known adverse impact on public health or safety from a tritium release at commercial nuclear power plants.
While we'll have more on that later, it's also important to point out that the four co-authors of this study lack any scientific credentials.
- Jennifer Kim of U.S. PIRG has a degree in history from the University of Michigan;
- According to her own MySpace page, Courtney Abrams of Environment America graduated with a degree in Psychology from Wake Forest;
- Her Environment America colleague Rob Kerth has a BA in history from Yale;
- Sean Garren has a degree in Government from Dartmouth.
Monday, January 23, 2012
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 24JAN2012
Zee News
Sydney: A wealth of evidence, provided by lunar rock samples, shows how meteoritesstruck the moon. The study, headed by microstructural geology experts Nick Timms and Steven Reddy, professor, Western Australian School of Mines (WASM), documents the ...
隕石から判明した小惑星の形成時期と水の存在
東京大学の研究により太陽系の初期に形成した隕石の炭酸塩は太陽系の形成から480万年後にできこれらの隕石の素になった小惑星は太陽系の形成
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 23JAN2012
AllAfrica.com
Speaking of planets, a Meteorite fell onto Karatu on September 11 in 1963. It was one of the threeMeteorite falls documented in Tanzania with other two recorded in Mbeya earlier on. Whether the piece of the planet which landed in Karatu about 50 years ...
$5 million a kilo for Meteorite? Astronomy with Dr ...
Meteroites from Mercury,
Sunday, January 22, 2012
Breaking News -Newly Discovered NEOs Close Approach Meteor Activity to Continue to Increase 23JAN2012
Breaking Asteroid News- NEO Close Pass 27JAN2012
http://lunarmeteoritehunters.blogspot.com/2012/01/breaking-asteroid-news-neo-close-pass.html
Breaking News -NEOs Asteroids (Near Earth Objects) Close Approaches - Meteor Activity to Increase 23JAN2012
Just discovered NEO (2012 BS1), (2012 BY1), (2012 BW13), (2012 BD14)
will be passing from 23JAN until 30JAN2012 and I
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 22JAN2012
Astrobiology Magazine (press release)
Arizona State University's (ASU) Center for Meteorite Studies has acquired a significant new sample for its collection: a rare martian meteorite that fell in southern Morocco in July 2011. It is the first martian fall in about 50 years. ...
Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News: Breaking News -Texas ...
By Lunar Meteorite *
Kyoto, Japan Meteor Fireball 17JAN2011
1/22/2012 20:50:05 17JAN2012 Maruta KYOTO, JAPAN 23:30 GMT+9 3-5 sec N-S Orange/yellow, like fire moon yes It looked like a big fireball, with a long orange tail and fragments breaking off
More sighting reports please; thank you.
Any other sighting reports? Please report: Date and Time of event? Location name (town,city) where you were when
Greece/Macedonia Meteor Breaking News - Greece Bolide Meteor 22JAN2012
Greece/Macedonia Bolide Meteor 22JAN2012
Neon Markers=Sighting Reports
v.1 (c) LunarMeteorite*Hunter / Google Earth
22JAN2012 16:36:05 22JAN2012 Elizabeth Kolindros, MACEDONIA, GREECE ~00:30 local time about 8 sec W Really big light green tail but dark core Sun In the
Saturday, January 21, 2012
Breaking News -Texas/Oklahoma Meteor 20JAN2012
Texas/Oklahoma Meteor ~ 22:10 CST 20JAN2012
(c) Hawley, TX Sentinel Allsky, Kevin Palivec
Texas/Oklahoma Meteor ~ 22:10 CST 20JAN2012
(c) Hawley, TX Sentinel Allsky, Kevin Palivec
20JAN2012 Bill and Nancy Vernon, Texas 22:10 CST 4 seconds 80 degrees from vertical straight down. It was in the eastern part of the sky. White to
Oman Meteorite News - Scientists index Oman's galaxy of meteorites 20JAN2012
Uploaded by AlJazeeraEnglish on 20 Jan 2012 305 views
Deep in the heart of the Omani desert, the search is on for rocks worth millions of dollars: not diamonds but rubble that has fallen from the sky.A group of German and Swiss scientists are working with the Omani government to catalogue the vast number of meteorites that lay strewn across the desert
Friday, January 20, 2012
DOE Moves Forward on Small Reactors
Writer Reese Palley has quite a little rant going on at the Philadelphia Inquirer:
Unfortunately, all the arguments for developing and licensing small, modular nuclear reactors fell on deaf ears at the Nuclear Regulatory Commission. The commission has no immediate plans even to begin assessing traveling wave or any other small nuclear technology.
It is not as if mini-nuclear technologies are experimental and unproven. [etc.]
Palley is the author of The Answer: Why Only Inherently Safe Mini Nuclear Power Plants Can Save Our World, which I haven’t read. He certainly wants you to know he’s all over those small reactors.
Unfortunately, though, his piece was published today. So was this, at the Department of Energy’s site:
The U.S. Department of Energy today announced the first step toward manufacturing small modular nuclear reactors (SMRs) in the United States, demonstrating the Administration’s commitment to advancing U.S. manufacturing leadership in low-carbon, next generation energy technologies and restarting the nation’s nuclear industry. Through the draft Funding Opportunity Announcement announced today, the Department will establish cost-shared agreements with private industry to support the design and licensing of SMRs.
Palley was talking about the NRC, but if DOE is helping with the licensing process, then the NRC will be prepared to review those licenses. The seriousness of this effort was underscored by a quick-to-follow press release from Westinghouse:
"Westinghouse will apply for DOE's small modular reactor investment funds with a consortium of utilities. Access to this investment fund helps lower the barrier to market entry for American companies. Virtually all energy sources that feed the national grid have been developed through public investments in public-private research and development partnerships.
So the die is cast. I took a look over at Terrapower, which Palley touts in his article, but it doesn’t have a press release about this. NuScale hasn’t weighed in either. Babcock and Wilcox had this interesting bit of news – from last week:
Babcock & Wilcox is to restructure its commercial nuclear business, separating its small modular reactor operations from its other nuclear energy related businesses.
The company said that the move was in response to "changing market conditions, growth opportunities and the continuing progress of its small modular reactor (SMR) business."
So there’s that.
Palley’s article confused me because the DOE plan had been in the works for awhile. It’s just a coincidence that the details of the plan sprang forth the same day, but in any event, it’s pleasing to see work moving forward on small reactors. It ought to even please Palley.
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 21JAN2012
The 2012 Meteor Shower List is presented in four separate parts. The showers are broken down by intensity with major, minor, variable, and weak showers ...
www.amsmeteors.org/2012/01/2012-meteor-shower-list/
PSK2K – a new meteorscatter mode by DJ5HG
Southgate Amateur Radio Club
PSK2K is a meteor scatter mode that enables multiple contacts to
Update - Alert- Newly Discovered NEOs to Pass Activity of Meteors Projected 20-21JAN2011
- Increased Activity of Meteors Projected
Cameras, Observers Alert Standby (2012 BV1)
LunarMeteorite*Hunter, Tokyo (Dirk Ross)
UPCOMING CLOSE APPROACHES TO EARTH
1 AU = ~150 million kilometers
1 LD = Lunar Distance = ~384,000 kilometers
Object
NameClose
Approach
DateMiss
Distance
(AU)Miss
Distance
(LD)Estimated
Diameter*H
(mag)Relative
Velocity
Thursday, January 19, 2012
Tulsa, Oklahoma Daytime Meteor Event? 18JAN2012
Anyone else see this event please contact me drtanuki@gmail.com Thank you!
18JAN2012 mike tulsa, ok, usa 1400 cst 15 sec sw-ne yellow, explosion, smoke cloud daytime, but still very visable no happened during the day. exploded about 500ft above the ground, probably about 1 mile from location. the explosion was powerful enough to felt in delivery
Florida Launch Tonight Florida ~7:38 EST 19JAN2012 NOT Meteor!
Possible artificial nebula tonight
If the 0:38 UTC (7:38 EST) scheduled launch goes off as scheduled or even
somewhat later in the launch
A Win for Vermont Yankee
Vermont Yankee wins:
Vermont’s only nuclear plant can remain open beyond its originally scheduled shutdown date this year, despite the state’s efforts to close the 40-year-old reactor, a federal judge ruled Thursday.
In February 2010, Entergy, Vermont Yankee’s owner, discover a tritium leak at the plant. Tritium is a mildly radioactive form of hydrogen that is incorporated into water molecules. It is found in nature and as a byproduct of fission processes. Health effects are minimal and present only if ingested in large amounts.
In any event, none leaked outside the plant nor was there any measureable amount in drinking water at the plant. Regardless, in March, the state legislature voted to close the plant due to the leak.
Now, that was controversial. In all instances, only the NRC can close a plant due to a safety concern. But Vermont and Entergy had signed an agreement that said the plant could operate only if the state issued a certain document – the March vote essentially withheld that document.
In March 2011, the NRC approved a 20-year license extension for Vermont Yankee – if Vermont failed to close it.
In April 2011, Entergy, through two subsidiaries, filed suit in U.S. District Court to prevent the closure contending that the action is preempted by federal law and violates both the supremacy clause and the commerce clause of the U.S. Constitution.
And that is the suit that has now prevailed. The Washington Post story quoted above is light on details, but it does mention a few interesting tidbits:
Entergy argued that the state was moving to close Vermont Yankee out of concerns over plant safety, an issue that the state agreed is solely the NRC’s jurisdiction. The state maintained it had other reasons, including that Vermont Yankee didn’t fit in to its energy plan and was likely to be increasingly unreliable as it aged.
I had assumed that Vermont believed it could close the facility for any reason, but apparently, that isn’t true. And the story doesn’t really suggest if the judge decided that federal law trumped state law.
We’ll pass along more details as we have them. In the meantime, a win is a win.
The losing side in federal court was expected to appeal [U.S. District Judge J. Garvan] Murtha’s decision to the 2nd U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in New York, though it was not immediately known whether the state would follow through with that.
And we’ll probably has a better sense of how Vermont will proceed in the days to come, too.
Vermont Yankee
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 20JAN2012
PhysOrg.com
Scientists from Germany, Japan and the US now provided evidence to substantiate the theory with the help of isotope analyses of stardust from meteorites. The team around the Mainz Max Planck researcher Peter Hoppe initially isolated thousands of about ...
Visitor from Mars
Bangkok Post
It is not often that someone finds a meteorite from the planet
Aftermath of Frontline's “Nuclear Aftershocks”
Their opinions closely mirrored our October 2011 public opinion poll which found that 62 percent of respondents said they favor the use of nuclear energy as one of the ways to provide electricity in the United States.
The chat’s audience also said that their opinions about nuclear power were not influenced by Tuesday night’s documentary:
This survey result really only proves one thing—that people are generally distrustful of media reports, but interested enough in the subject matter to take part in an online chat at 1 o’clock on a Wednesday afternoon!
During the chat, people posed questions on a variety of topics, including: building advanced reactors, how other countries (namely Japan and Germany) plan to meet their electricity demands and carbon reduction goals while reducing the number of nuclear plants, and how nuclear energy facilities prepare for emergencies. I took part in the one-and-a-half hour chat and provided several comments to help build on the discussion and add facts to the debate, but none of my comments were accepted or posted by the chat’s moderator. Although I am not surprised that my comments were not accepted (since I had “NEI” next to my name), I am hopeful that they will at least provide the reporters with more context to the bigger picture.
Below are a few areas where I think the discussion should have warranted a little more explanation/clarification.
1) The “Moribund” Nuclear Industry & Aging Nukes
There are two problems with this statement. First, I think it is unfair to call the industry “moribund” when there are currently 12 combined license applications that are under active review by the Nuclear Regulatory Commission to build 20 nuclear plants and new designs have either been approved (Westinghouse Electric Co.’s AP1000) or are still in the design stages in this country. Companies spend several years either designing new reactors or working to build reactors at a given site, so to equate the industry with “dying” or “inactivity” is simply untrue.
Second, and this is a point that we keep coming back to on the blog and on our website, it is important to understand that 40-year licenses for nuclear plants were never meant to be an indicator of a plant’s safe operation. The 40-year time period was simply chosen to parallel the financing amortization period for a plant. The NRC’s website explains:
The Atomic Energy Act and NRC regulations limit commercial power reactor licenses to an initial 40 years but also permit such licenses to be renewed. This original 40-year term for reactor licenses was based on economic and antitrust considerations -- not on limitations of nuclear technology.Nuclear plants are continually undergoing maintenance and upgrades so that they are equipped—no matter their age—to meet all of the NRC’s safety regulations. So, whether it’s day one or day 14,600, rest assured that each of the nation’s nuclear plants are meeting the NRC’s stringent safety requirements or else they will be subject to federal disciplinary actions, including up to the shutdown of a reactor until safety improvements are made.
2) Germany’s Nuclear Energy Situation
The nation’s nuclear power plants are among the safest and most secure industrial facilities in the United States. See for yourself. But, if you do not agree with that statement, I still think it’s important to look at the facts before making a rash decision.
Just yesterday, Siemens, which built all of Germany’s 17 nuclear plants, estimated that an exit from nuclear energy could cost the European country’s energy consumers or taxpayers as much as 1.7 trillion euros ($2.15 trillion) by 2030. Much of that estimate assumes a strong expansion of renewables, with feed-in tariffs being the biggest chunk of costs, a Reuters article reports.
Besides the high costs, cutting nuclear energy from the country’s energy portfolio will mean more carbon emissions. One of our recent blog posts quotes Laszlo Varro, the head of the gas, coal, and power markets division at the International Energy Agency, who estimates that a nuclear-free Germany could cause a 25-million-ton annual increase in CO2 emissions, mainly because of the large shift to coal power that would be needed to cover the shortfall. We also referenced a Breakthrough Institute report on our blog that predicts that Germany’s carbon emissions could rise by as much as 14 percent of the country’s 2008 total carbon emissions. These estimates do not bode well for a country that aims to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions. (They also do not bode well for O’Brien’s argument because later in the chat he says that “anything is better than coal.”)
3) Small Reactors
According to some government officials and vendors I’ve talked to recently, small reactors are—the next “big” thing. Peter Lyons, the U.S. Department of Energy’s assistant secretary of nuclear energy, just yesterday said that research will be moving forward this year toward further development and design certification of small nuclear reactors. The Tri-City Herald reports:
If there is enough demand for the small plants, large numbers could be built in a factory and then one or more would be transported to sites for use, he said. More modules could be added as needed for electricity production.If that’s not enough, Congress has certainly indicated with a restoration of $67 million in its 2012 budget that they are still interested in the development and licensing of small reactors. At NEI, we continue to see more interest in small reactors.
The factory model has potential to be more economical, and quality could be more readily controlled in a factory, Lyons said.
4) Energy Conservation
Although I don’t have any immediate statistics at my disposal, I can assure you that conservation efforts will never be enough to meet growing electricity demand. The U.S. Energy Information Administration currently forecasts that electricity demand is growing at a rate of about 1 percent per year and that the United States will need 24 percent more electricity by 2035. To meet that demand, the electric utility industry must invest between $1.5 trillion and $2 trillion in new power plants, environmental controls, and transmission and distribution lines.
I do not think that unplugging our electronic devices, kitchen appliances, etc., will be enough to make up the difference in electricity supply. (I also personally don’t think the image of people wearing sandals and tee-shirts and using fans instead of A/C—like O’Brien describes that they are currently doing in Japan without the added electricity from their nuclear plants—will ever be a possibility in American culture.) However, I do think that we are on the cusp of a revolution where utilities are developing smarter ways for people to use electricity to reduce cost and alleviate daily demand through smart meters. Some are doing it very well (see a recent report by the Massachusetts Institute of Technology for examples).
5) Relationship Between NRC & Nuclear Industry
I think this comment distorts the important work that the NRC performs each day. It is an independent agency that strives for transparency. Its five commissioners are appointed by the president of the United States and confirmed by the U.S. Senate. They even have a page on their website that discusses their commitment to openness and transparency in their regulatory activities.
That being said, the nuclear industry’s high levels of performance, reliability and safety are all due to the strict regulatory oversight and function that the NRC serves. The NRC helps the industry to focus on safety, training, regulatory compliance and continuous improvement. The U.S. commercial nuclear industry is arguably one of the most strictly and thoroughly regulated industries in the nation, and the NRC is a model to other countries that are developing their nuclear energy programs.
---
Altogether, I appreciated the fact that O’Brien and Palfreman held the chat to further discuss nuclear energy issues, but I felt that several of the assertions warranted further clarification (as previously explained). I really like the concept of holding these chat-type forums because I think they add context to some of the larger policy debates that are country currently faces.
Read the full transcript of the chat here. See our other blog posts on the FRONTLINE report here.
Wednesday, January 18, 2012
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 19JAN2012
AFP
WASHINGTON — Rare and expensive fragments of a Mars meteorite fell from the sky in July over Morocco, a team of international scientists confirmed. A fireball in the sky was observed in a remote region of southern Morocco by nomads who tracked down ...
Meteorite from Mars fell in Morocco: Scientists
Canada.com Wed, 18 Jan 2012 16:07 PM PST
Rare and
Germany and the Nuclear Self-Trap Conundrum
Nuclear energy isn’t a trap for the unwary. When a country decides to invest in nuclear energy, it does so knowing the risks and benefits. If it invests heavily in nuclear energy – think France, Germany, Russia, China, The U.S. - it has done a good deal of study over many years to determine the value of the decision.
Public support for nuclear energy certainly took a significant hit after the accident at Japans’ Fukushima Daiichi plant, but even that has begun to moderate.
Public support for nuclear power appears to have bounced back in the UK after falling sharply in the aftermath of the Fukushima disaster, a survey showed today.
The Ipsos MORI poll of almost 1,000 adults across Britain revealed half of those questioned (50%) supported the building of new nuclear plants in the UK to replace the current generation of reactors which are being shut down.
That’s what makes Germany’s decision to close its nuclear energy facilities so fascinating. Of course, you’d expect nuclear energy advocates to consider it a bad move – we’ve had considerable fun with it on this blog – but with most other countries moving forward, after a pause, with their plans (From the above story: “The UK Government plans to build a series of new reactors on or next to existing nuclear sites to replace plants being phased out over the next few years, as part of plans to ensure secure electricity supplies and to help cut carbon emissions.”), what has become clearer is that Germany’s decision was quite precipitous, even radically so.
What made it also seem cynical was that it was overseen by Chancellor Angela Merkel, who had previously recognized that exiting nuclear energy without a viable replacement plan in place was bad policy. In response to the accident at Japan’s Fukushima Daiichi plant but as likely motivated by a tough election, she pivoted by doubling down on a policy she considered bad.
But in doing so, did she make a trap of nuclear energy?
---
Before the decision to close the plants, Germany was already in a pickle due to its decision to move heavily into renewable energy so it could exit nuclear energy by 2025, as this Economist article from late 2010 describes:
Renewables in Germany are growing more quickly than in almost any other EU state, but that is only because consumers pay a large subsidy, some €10 billion ($12.8 billion) last year. Energy taxes, already high, may be about to rise. In August energy companies and their supporters took out full-page newspaper advertisements arguing against tax rises and for a dismantling of bureaucratic barriers to investment. To secure cheap, climate-friendly power, the signers argued, nuclear and coal would have to remain part of the mix.
[…]
Yet to withdraw on schedule from nuclear power, which produces more than a fifth of Germany’s electricity, would be risky. The CDU [Christian Democratic Party, Merkel’s party] is divided, but leans towards extending the deadline. Many in the party see the decision as a test for a chancellor who prefers messy compromises to clear leadership. “It would be fatal to give up” a source of energy that is cheap, domestic and emits little carbon, says Joachim Pfeiffer, a CDU member of the Bundestag.
Between late 2010 time and the Japan accident, the government decided to extend the life of the plants to provide more time to put renewables in place. So nuclear energy need not be a trap, even when you want to do something else. (The Greens in this article make a really funny argument, though – because nuclear energy runs full tilt all the time, it’s tough to ramp it down to accommodate the intermittent nature of solar and wind energy. It’s really flips relative strength and weakness on their heads.)
---
The response to Germany’s post-Fukushima decision has been – what you’d expect:
Utilities are less keen. They say high natural gas costs, still mostly tied to oil with its inbuilt geopolitical price premiums, and low power prices make gas plants an unprofitable business.
"The goals is very ambitious -- this will not be easy," said Juergen Grossmann, chief executive of Germany's No.2 utility RWE.
So there’s that.
One of the top priorities is the expansion of transport and distribution networks for power from renewables sources including wind and solar, Germany's new favored form of energy.
The task is being delayed by protests and overly long procedures to approve new grids and existing grid revamps, which in some cases take more than 10 years.
And that.
Siemens estimates that Germany's energy shift will cost up to 1.7 trillion euros ($2.17 trillion) by 2030, most of which will be borne by taxpayers and power consumers.
And – hey, ouch!
---
Some of this might have been inevitable – nuclear plants have exceptionally low running costs – but other aspects are a function of flipping the off switch too quickly. All other factors being equal, Germany would be foolish not to consider all options.
The German government's 180-degree turn in nuclear policy has helped breathe new life into Europe's energy industry -- though not always to Germany's benefit. The country has gone from being an energy exporter to an energy importer practically overnight, which brings along with it a number of negative consequences for its economy, consumers and security.
And that can cause a grim, tight smile. Why?
Germany's decision to phase out its nuclear power plants by 2022 has rapidly transformed it from power exporter to importer. Despite Berlin's pledge to move away from nuclear, the country is now merely buying atomic energy from neighbors like the Czech Republic and France.
That may seem a case of reaping what you sow , but it also raises the specter of hypocrisy.
So has nuclear energy trapped Germany into a costly, self-defeating energy policy? Not a bit – Germany self-trapped, so to speak, letting panic, short-sightedness and cynicism trump sound policy making – whether that policy would or would not have included nuclear energy.
---
Speaking of other countries not following Germany’s course:
Ma Ying-jeou won 51.6 percent of the total votes to Tsai Ing-wen’s 45.63 percent, while voter turnout, at 74.38 percent, was less that the 76.33 turnout in the previous presidential election in 2008, though all the numbers won’t be finalized until a Central Election Commission meeting on Thursday.
Ma supports the expansion of nuclear energy in Taiwan. His opponent, Tsai Ing-wen, wanted to close all the plants. Nuclear energy was not a big issue in the election – economic ties to mainland China, which Ma initiated, was the determinative factor.
Still, no complaints here.
---
Our Japan updates continue every Monday over on the Safety First web site. The site has more too, including, most recently, a great interactive graphic showing how American nuclear facilities weathered various natural hullabaloos surrounding them this year. Great to share with friends. Well worth a visit for more than just the Japan updates.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Frontline to Host Online Chat on "Nuclear Aftershocks" at 1:00 p.m. EST
What’s the future of nuclear after Fukushima? Can the world’s faith in nuclear energy be restored? Or could another Fukishima-like disaster bring the nuclear age to an end? Is a nuclear plant near you at risk?Click here to join the chat.
Veteran science reporter Miles O’Brien and producer Jon Palfreman have been digging into these issues for the past year. We asked them to join us for a live chat to discuss these questions and take yours.
Spencer Reiss, a contributing editor at WIRED who specializes in energy issues, will be our guest questioner.
Former Frontline Science Advisor Blasts "Nuclear Aftershocks"
To say that his comment is illuminating would be a serious understatement. Please note I've inserted some line breaks in the copy in order to enhance readability:
The portion of the Frontline story which starts with the Fukushima accident is a worthwhile public service. However, as an initial scientific advisor to the team producing this show, I found the lack of accuracy and balance in the second half of the story covering the Indian Point reactor disturbing. The statement that that reactor lies "right on the faults" is not accurate, and the portrayal of the potential activity of the seismic faults by Professor Sykes is not balanced.Click here for a screen capture of the comment. I wonder what the producers of the program think about this?
In 1972, the first fault was significantly studied when the Indian Point reactors were licensed by the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. Earthquakes in the region were characterized as of minor magnitude and relatively trivial by the noted seismologist Charles Richter of Cal Tech, the originator of the Richter scale for characterizing earthquakes. The significance of the recently proclaimed second fault also has been disputed, most notably by Prof. Alan Kafka of Boston College. I made the producers aware of this information, but they chose not to disclose these counter opinions and only presented Professor Sykes’ views on the seismic issues.
Additionally, the story dialogue speaks of "the" evacuation route for residents near Indian Point, when in fact there are multiple routes in various directions from the plant. The producers could have balanced the correspondent's incredulous statements about the evacuation route by opinions of the surrounding county emergency response officials who have overseen the evacuation planning effort for the plant and have responsibility for its implementation should a need arise. This is a source of information I also pointed out to them.
Finally, the producers speak of the future of nuclear energy in America only in terms of the relicensing and eventual end of service of existing reactors. Balanced communication to the public would have been achieved by explaining that a new generation of reactors has been designed, certified as safe by the NRC (Westinghouse’s AP1000) and is being built in Georgia and South Carolina. Again, this was information I provided them in response to their request that I review the film prior to its airing.
Neil E. Todreas
KEPCO Professor of Nuclear Science and Engineering and
Professor of Mechanical Engineering (Emeritus)
Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Tuesday, January 17, 2012
The Latest Worldwide Meteor/Meteorite News 18JAN2012
AllAfrica.com
PIERRE van der Westhuizen of Swakopmund was having dinner with a friend on Friday evening when he saw "a spectacular meteorite" streaking across the sky for about three seconds. "I've seen manymeteorites in my life, but never anything like this," he ...
asahicom朝日新聞社火星からの隕石半世紀ぶり モロッコに落下学会認定 ...
昨年7月に北アフリカのモロッコに落ちてきた隕石(いんせき)が火星から来
On Frontline, Indian Point and the Ramopo Fault
But back in March 2011, the Journal News did ask those questions:
But the U.S. Geological Survey — one of the nation's foremost research labs — said geologic evidence about the Ramapo Fault is "insufficient to demonstrate the existence of tectonic faulting or ... slip or deformation."Viewers should question why these experts weren't mentioned at all in tonight's Frontline report.
It didn't even include the fault in calculations of earthquake hazards in 2008.
Geology professor Alec Gates put it more succinctly: "The Ramapo Fault is dead," said Gates, chairman of Earth and environmental sciences at Rutgers University. "It was a big fault in the old days, but not anymore."...
What differentiates this region from more earthquake-prone areas, experts say, is that it lies in the middle of the North American Plate, a tectonic slab that encompasses North America to the Pacific Ocean, including Greenland, Cuba, the Bahamas, and parts of Siberia and Iceland.
"It's not a plate boundary; that's the primary reason you don't have activity and that it's hard to predict activity," said Paul Olsen, a professor of Earth and Environmental Sciences at Columbia University and a member of the National Academy of Sciences. "The formation of the Ramapo Fault was at least 300 million years ago. Most of the earthquakes around here have nothing to do with it."
Follow Us on Twitter During Frontline's Nuclear Aftershocks
UPDATE: We've just finished watching the report, and you can take a look at what we tweeted by peeking at our timeline. Overall, Miles O'Brien and the Frontline team got some things right, especially when it came to the environmental and economic consequences of getting rid of nuclear energy on a global scale.
On the other hand, there were portions of the report where significant omissions were made in terms of emergency preparedness, license renewal and the proven slow-moving character of nuclear incidents.
As for next steps, I'm going home to watch the program one more time on my DVR to take some notes and then head to bed. Thanks to all our friends online who joined in the conversation tonight to defend the industry's record. Good night.